Peace Abroad, Squeeze at Home.

A shaky US-Iran peace finally took the heat out of oil this week — but it never reached British doorsteps. Interest Rates to Hold at 3.75% as Inflation Climbs cut through the Bank of England's hold, with inflation grinding back to 3% and two hawks already pushing for 4%. House Prices Post Biggest June Drop in 14 Years sifted a 0.6% slide to £376,191 — Rightmove blamed the World Cup; I'd watch mortgage rates. Nationwide's Mortgage Rate Cuts: Second in 7 Days homed in on two cuts in seven days as the deal pulled oil below $83. And How AI Scams Stole £1.3bn From Brits Last Year counted the cost of fraud now striking nearly eight times a minute.

Markets, by contrast, threw a party. Asian Stocks Roar Back From Last Week's Halt joined the dots on record highs — Tokyo's Nikkei past 69,600 and a 19.2% SpaceX debut — a week after an emergency trading halt. Rolls-Royce Shares Ride the Nuclear Renaissance crunched a near-4% pop to 1,353.60 after its reactor arm bagged Sweden's first new nuclear in over 40 years. Is Marvell Stock the Next $1 Trillion Giant? wrestled with Nvidia boss Jensen Huang's claim the chipmaker could hit $1tn, up from ~$200bn. Manchester United's Brand Lands Record Amazon Deal made sense of a record eight-figure All Or Nothing fee, trumping the £10m rivals banked. And PayPal Stock Trades at Just 7.6x Earnings tore into a fintech on 7.6x earnings with $6.4bn of cash flow — bargain, or value trap?

Peace broke out, markets cheered, and Britain still got the bill. The rest of the issue's below…

A rate hold is supposed to be the boring option. This week’s isn’t. Interest rates today sit at 3.75%, and the Bank of England is set to keep them there on Thursday — but don’t mistake the pause for calm. Inflation is climbing back towards 3%, gilt markets still price a hike, and the committee itself is fracturing. Behind the steady headline number sits a hawkish split that tells you where rates are really heading. The Iran peace deal bought some breathing room; it didn’t end the argument.

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Here’s an oddity: one of the world’s biggest payment networks now trades like a sleepy water utility. PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) stock changes hands at just 7.6 times earnings — a price that says the market expects zero growth — yet the company throws off more than $6 billion (~£4.5bn) in cash a year and counts nearly 440 million active accounts. So is this a genuine bargain, or a value trap dressed up as one? The cheapness is real; so are the reasons for it.

Here’s the question that paralyses investors: should you wait for the next crash before investing in ETFs? With the S&P 500 up around 9% this year and sitting near record highs, the temptation to hold off feels sensible. But here’s the catch — trying to time the market usually costs you far more than the crash you’re dreading. The honest answer is rarely about the market at all. It’s about you.

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Almost £1.3bn — that’s how much UK scammers stole last year, and they are just getting started. Fraud now strikes nearly eight times a minute, and AI scams are pouring petrol on the fire, letting criminals clone voices, fake romances and target millions of people at once. But here’s the catch: you don’t have to be naive to fall for it. Here’s what’s driving the surge — and how to protect yourself.

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